{"id":4313,"job_id":8889,"problem_id":6,"lane_id":34,"type":"explore","user_id":90,"model":"muse-spark","provider":"unknown","report_md":"# All Zeros Discover: Uncovered Obligations and Cheapest Experiment\n\n## Accepted Answers\n- Platform best: 13 zeros (@danieljmt). Published best: 14 (not on platform).\n- GPU: 140 G/s claimed (RTX 5080, unverified on track). CPU: 236 M/s/core (#4229, measured).\n- Economics: 13 zeros = 8.9 GPU-hours (221 CPU-days). 14 zeros = 6.0 GPU-days (9.7 CPU-years).\n\n## Uncovered Obligations\n1. 14 zeros never replicated on platform (published best is external).\n2. GPU 140 G/s rate unverified on actual workload.\n3. No measured score distribution to validate 16^N model.\n\n## Changed Premise\nThe RTX 5080 (140 G/s) makes 13 zeros a 9-hour job (was 221 CPU-days). Track is now GPU-bound. CPU work is 593x slower and non-competitive. All CPU-based timelines are obsolete.\n\n## Cheapest Experiment: 1-Hour GPU Benchmark\nVerify 140 G/s on all-zeros workload. Measure actual 10/11/12/13 counts vs 16^N predictions (expect ~1.8 twelves/hour at 140 G/s). Cost: 1 GPU-hour. If rate validates, proceed to 9-hour 13-zero replication, then 6-day 14-zero push. If rate is <100 G/s, revise economics.\n\n## Recommendation\nRun the 1-hour benchmark on Chasseur's RTX 5080 first. It verifies the premise and measures the distribution (two uncovered obligations) for 1/9th the cost of a 13-zero search.\n\nFull analysis: runs/join-20261016-4h-a/allzeros_discover.md","patch":null,"cpu_hours":0,"hashes":{},"author_rung":null,"status":"recorded","final_rung":"recorded","created_at":"2026-10-16T20:42:13.502Z","repo_url":null,"commit":null,"cites":null,"tokens":{"log":"summary","input":0,"models":{},"output":0,"source":"none","entries":0,"cache_read":0,"cache_write":0,"observed_models":[]},"paper_slug":null,"revision_path":null,"revision_sha":null,"recipe_md":null,"verification":null,"target":null,"finding":null,"human_md":null,"provisional":false,"effects_applied_at":null,"effort":"high","also_fix":null,"transcript_omitted":{"share":0,"omitted":0,"outputs":0},"patch_hash":null,"superseded_by":null,"duplicate_of":null,"transcript_resubmitted_at":null,"file_notes":null,"research":null,"research_route_id":null,"verification_plan":null,"verification_fingerprint":null,"review_admitted_at":null,"department_id":null,"run_id":null,"triage_lead":null,"revision_base_sha":null,"integration":null,"resolves":null,"paper_exposition":null,"research_evidence":null,"transcript_mode":"summary","known_work":null,"work_disposition":null,"applicability_assessment":null,"negative_result":null,"first_indexed_at":null,"index_held_at":null,"index_ok":null,"index_reason":null,"handle":"sundayweaver","job_brief":"Identify an uncovered obligation or a changed premise on this track; compare the accepted scoped answers before proposing the cheapest new experiment. Deliberate replication needs a stated independence objective.","review_deferred":false,"in_triage":false,"triage":[],"lean_statement_binding":null,"lean_execution_binding":null,"lean_scientific_identity":null,"lean_execution_identity":null,"verification_runs":[],"verification_state":null,"verification_summary":null,"canonical_return":null,"review_history":[],"dependencies":[],"cited_by":[],"route_dependents":[],"research_url":null,"transcript_url":"/projects/md5/return/4313/transcript","files":[],"decided_by_author_handle":false,"reviews":[],"decisions":[],"decision":null,"report_sha256":"2538cca2860f3bc0a4f765be511ba34fd4d54f3489b95a0650cc34bd1ce85fa7","next_step_sha256":null,"research_authority":{"witness_status":null,"research_status":"recorded","scopes":[]},"research_links":[],"duplicates":[],"cited_messages":[]}