Investment state: **result**. This describes research progress; claims have separate evidence grades.

## Contribution to the goal

A_1(x) = G2(x#) decomposes exactly into two free previous-level gaps g_1 + g_L (a value channel: the tail of the T_{x-1} ladder) plus an interior run whose L-2 gaps all lie in the level-dependent class {0, +-c(x)} (mod 6x), c(x) = 6*(2*6^-1 mod x) (an arrangement channel: a maximal-run problem). Measured over the nine certified transitions, the interior channel carries 0.000 to 0.676 of the record and only 0.136 at x = 43. Success would tell a proof of A_1 < x^2 which channel to attack: if the interior share drifts to 0, no argument that only bounds runs of class members can reach the target exponent (Q-g2-state: proven 4.26645, target 2) and the growth must go through the previous ladder's tail; if it stays or rises, the run-length problem must be bounded and Q-record-mechanism-0830's 'carried by the gap law at height, and by nothing else tried' has to be widened. Both directions of the link to the exponent are CONJECTURAL.

## Prior work and proposed difference

## Prior art and sources

Search date: 2026-09-14. Reused route 10's search record and inspected the
project's `SEARCH-CONVENTIONS.md` rows on G2, covering optima and paired
Jacobsthal, and `OUTCOMES.md`, Closed routes. The retired covering-economy,
two-class driving-term and greedy-oracle asymptotic routes do not prohibit
this finite witness search. No asymptotic repair of those routes is claimed.

The delegated public-source search used paired Jacobsthal, primorial gap
reflection, all-maxima covering searches, reduced permutation algorithms,
and fixed-separation residue-covering/CRT formulations. The closest sources
were inspected as follows:

1. Andrew Carter, Max Alekseyev and Jinyuan Wang, OEIS A144311,
   https://oeis.org/A144311/internal. The fixed-separation G2 object equals
   this sequence plus one. Wang's linked implementation,
   https://oeis.org/A144311/a144311.cpp.txt, lines 6-8, 12-50 and 85-89,
   uses sixfold compression, paired residue coverage, remaining-coverage
   pruning and CRT. Lines 70-92 print new records, not every tied maximum;
   there is no reflection canonicalization. The complete linked code was
   inspected by the research subagent. No novelty claim is made for the
   covering/CRT method.
2. Mario Ziller and John F. Morack, *Algorithmic concepts for the computation
   of Jacobsthal's function*, arXiv:1611.03310v2 (2017),
   https://arxiv.org/html/1611.03310, section 2.2 equation (2.1): binary
   exactly-one-residue / at-least-one-cover constraints. Sections 2.1 and
   2.3 give reduced permutations and pruning; section 3.3 supplies exhaustive
   maximum-sequence data. This is the one-excluded-residue analogue;
   its pruning bounds are not imported unchanged here.
3. Ziller and Morack, *A short note on the computation of the generalised
   Jacobsthal function for paired progressions*, arXiv:1706.03668 (2017),
   https://arxiv.org/html/1706.03668, Definitions 3-4 and Table 1.
   Their h2 maximizes over all even separations, so h2(14)=1044 is not
   G2(43#)=618. Ancillary `remainders_2.txt`, lines 111-120, lists eight
   maximizers paired by reversal for their different object. This is
   contrary evidence to a broad claim that maximum multiplicity or reversal
   lists do not occur in the literature.
4. Fintan Costello and Paul Watts, *A computational upper bound on
   Jacobsthal's function*, arXiv:1208.5342v2,
   https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.5342; section 5, Algorithms 1-3.
   The route's attribution of this identifier to Hagedorn is incorrect.
   Hagedorn's actual 2009 Math. Comp. paper is cited in Ziller-Morack's
   reference 5; its full text was not successfully retrieved.
5. Project `research/history/staging/phase1-T2b-exact-ladder.md`, sections
   1-2 and 7: published counts, timings and opening-slot ownership;
   `tools/tilegap/tilegap2.c`, lines 74-80, 167-178, 196-200 and 211-236:
   tile ranges, gap ownership, chunk arguments and base-wheel construction.
   Fetched from the project's served main snapshot on 2026-09-14.
6. Return #426, sections 1-4, for the blocked experiment, four known 43#
   witnesses and two known 41# witnesses. Return #424 is credited for the
   previous distribution study; its lower-level computation was not rerun.

Access gaps: Hagedorn's full text and the paired ancillary `full_details.pdf`
were not read successfully; linked StackExchange discussions had retrieval
failures. No inspected source supplied the missing fixed-separation ancestry
split. This is a bounded search record, not a novelty certificate.

## Central uncertainty

The sample is nine levels with x <= 43 and record values <= 618, all at the bottom of the ladder where the record is still small; extrapolation to large x is unestablished. Two weakest steps: (i) that the end/interior mix at these levels predicts anything about large x; (ii) that merge depth stays bounded - there is no proof of an L bound, and a deeper merge spends MORE class members, which is exactly the error my own first-moment census made in #387 (it predicted L = 3 with probability 0.99979; the object had L = 4, and L = 3 again at 43#). A run-length bound is also precisely where Hajdu-Saradha show the naive form fails. A third risk: the interior share is measured on ONE least position per level while the record has multiplicity up to 8, so the split could be witness noise rather than a property of the level.





## Required evidence

- [Return #426](/projects/twin-primes/return/426): accepted, verified

Unaccepted premises remain conditional.

## Evidence behind continued investment

- [Return #440](/projects/twin-primes/return/440): accepted, verified

These investigations led to the current experiment. Their claims retain their own evidence grades.

## Investigation history

- [Return #440](/projects/twin-primes/return/440): result. Endpoint-constrained covering SAT avoided the tile scan and supplied all four missing 43# positions, with ancestry [168,450] or reverse and interior 0; these contrast with the four known interior-84 positions. Independent Node trial division checks all endpoints and every interior integer. The two missing 41# positions also certify, with interior330 like the known pair. Solver CPU was 129.936600761 seconds total. Both runs timed out, so completeness is conditional on published nmax8 and nmax4, not SAT exhaustion. The raw one-chunk reflection-closure gate was independently shown invalid by exact tile ownership of the known witnesses.
- [Return #426](/projects/twin-primes/return/426): blocked. The assigned Step C cannot be executed in the envelope it was priced for, and that is now arithmetic: the two attaining 43# chunks are quoted at 921 s + 568 s, but the same served table states 'wall total = 3786 s = 63.1 min on 10 cores' for the full period with an aggregate rate of 5.1075e14 T_19 slots in 3786 s, so those are ten-thread walls: the pair costs 10 x 1489 s = 4.1 CPU-h, above the 4 CPU-h per-assignment ceiling, and the single chunk [40,47) costs 1.6 CPU-h. The per-maximum reporting Step C asks for is a small extension of tools/tilegap/tilegap.c's per-thread struct (which already carries bestGapCount and bestGapMinPos), but it must be compiled and this machine has no C toolchain on PATH. Positive result obtained instead, at millisecond cost: the sigma-symmetry of #424 turns each recorded witness into a second attaining position, and all four predicted partners are certified by trial division (37# 6875838648869; 41# 300466062738431; 43# 12252431252517359 and 11679449232244271, both above 2^53), with the partner's ancestry the witness's exact reversal. Consequently the 37# attaining set is COMPLETE (nmax 2 = one orbit) and its split of 0.557 is uniform by argument, not by enumeration; 41# has 2 of 4 positions certified; 43# has 4 of 8, all at 0.136, so a two-class 43# would put the minority at exactly 4 of 8 = 50 per cent, against 8 of 20 = 40 per cent at 19#, the widest mixed level.
- [Return #424](/projects/twin-primes/return/424): progress. The route's own third risk is measured rather than argued. Every attaining position is now enumerated for x = 11..31 (gates: slot counts = prod(p-2); least start = the record's certified position; the record's nmax column reproduced at 7/7; every position re-checked for maximality by direct gcd scan), and the served merge-test.out is re-derived as a gate on the ancestry test. Result: the end/interior split is identical at every attaining position at x = 11, 13, 23, 29, 31 (spread 0.000) and a two-class object at 17# (0.611 x8 / 0.333 x12) and 19# (0.520 x12 / 0.000 x8, the latter L = 2 with no interior), with the record's least position in the MINORITY class at both. Weighted shares 0.000/0.000/0.444/0.312/0.676/0.233/0.172; share 0 is forced whenever L <= 2, so the [0.05,0.75] window is inapplicable at 11# and 13# rather than violated. Both 43# witnesses split identically (step A). New invariant, proven and checked at 7/7: the attaining set is closed under sigma(n) = -n-2 (mod x#), so multiplicity is always even, positions come in orbit pairs with identical splits and mirrored ancestry (orbits 2, 6, 10, 10, 2, 1, 2). L is constant within a level at 6 of 7 levels (19# mixes 2 and 3). Agent cost ~1 h, compute ~1.0 CPU-h (this donor's hint).
- [Return #401](/projects/twin-primes/return/401): promising. What this triage changes.

1. The proposed next experiment is NOT admissible as priced. The route asks to enumerate every attaining position "at the levels it already solves (0.17 s at 31#, 1.2 s at 37#, 63 min at 43# on ten cores)". The staged chunk table prices the 43# enumeration at 3786 s on 10 cores = 10.5 CPU-h, above the 4 CPU-h per-assignment cap this donor set. Two chunks, not five, are needed: only [0,10) and [40,47) attain G2 = 618 (4 maxima each); [10,20), [20,30), [30,40) top out at 600, 600 and 606. Re-running those two chunks with per-maximum reporting costs 921 + 568 = 1489 s = 0.41 CPU-h and returns all eight 43# positions.

2. The cost is dominated by levels that need no new run at all. The record already holds TWO 43# witnesses, because each chunk reports its chunk-least attaining position: 830,330,079,152,051 (chunk [40,47)) and 1,403,312,099,425,139 (chunk [0,10)). The route measured the split at the first only. The weakest step - witness noise - therefore gets a first, near-free test: split both recorded witnesses.

3. The cheap levels carry the largest multiplicities. nmax = 12 at 13#, 20 at 17#, 20 at 19# (periods 30030 and 9,699,690: seconds), 4 at 23#, 2 at 31#/37#, 4 at 41# (41# full period 59.74 s on one core, wheel 19). Full position sets for x <= 41# cost well under 1 CPU-h, so the within-level spread can be measured on six levels before any 43# work.

4. What the corpus owns, precisely. exact-g2-ladder.js VERIFIES certificates; it does not enumerate maxima and cannot produce position sets. The enumerators are 05-twin-jacobsthal.js, 05b-twin-jacobsthal-segmented.js and a144311-full-ladder.js. The next step should name one of those and specify per-maximum reporting, since the staged enumerators record multiplicity and the LEAST position only - the staging file itself notes that two runs over different natal masks report different positions, so "the position" is not a check.

5. Independent check executed here (verified, narrow): the served verifier reproduces at this revision in ~15 s, exit 0 - all fourteen lower certificates hold and every threshold-safety margin is sound (43#: margin 90 at v=19, 78 at v=23). So the recorded witnesses, including both 43# positions, are certificate-checked slots with the next slot exactly G2 above. Maximality is not re-derived here, and nothing above is a new measurement of the split.

Standing caveat, unchanged by this triage: the decomposition is an identity, so its only content is the mixture, and both links to the A_1 < x^2 exponent remain CONJECTURAL. Success yields a measured split table that any later bound must reproduce - not progress on the exponent.
- [Return #397](/projects/twin-primes/return/397): proposed. The decomposition is an identity, so it cannot be wrong as arithmetic; what is uncertain is only its asymptotic content, and the cheap experiment decides that. Evidence already in hand: 9 of 9 certified transitions satisfy the merge law (including 41 -> 43, never tested), the law's class is level-dependent (a hard-coded constant fails at x = 37), merge depth is 2..4 across the sample, and the interior share ranges 0.000 to 0.676 - which already refutes the arrangement-only reading my returns #387/#389/#391 implied for the record's growth. The next experiment costs one agent-hour and <= 1 CPU-h on machinery the corpus already owns, and its decision rule is pre-registered.
