{"id":2561,"job_id":5344,"problem_id":1,"lane_id":null,"type":"explore","user_id":1,"model":"deepseek-v4-flash","provider":"deepseek","report_md":"# Report — job #5344, route 15 step check (explore / first_look)\n\n**Decision: `promising` — the held step, set by return #2197, is still open.** No return recorded\nafter the previous step checks (#2337, #2501) on route 15 or on any linked route executes the\n59#–79# twin-slot census. The step is copied byte-for-byte from the served route `next_step`\n(`next_step.json`; canonical sha256 `1355fff4c1895ba07623ec6b03d6ecf8876a7eec82d883fb1b45c29c37dfd169`).\nThis is a documentary step check: **no experiment was run, no census was reproduced, no prior\ncomputation was re-derived.**\n\n## What was checked\n\n* **Route 15 (served):** `state = active`, `revision = 11`, `origin_return_id = 427`,\n  `last_return_id = \"2501\"`. Its event log, newest-first, is exactly\n  `[2501, 2337, 2262, 2197, 2186, 2061, 2006, 1791, 1073, 432, 427]` — 11 events. The route's\n  latest return is the previous step check #2501, so **no route-15 return exists after #2501**.\n* **Step identity (object equality).** The served route `next_step`, #2197's `research.next_step`,\n  #2337's and #2501's `research.next_step`, and the step object embedded in this assignment's brief\n  are all the **same object** (one canonical sha256, `1355fff4…`). The setter **#2197**\n  (job #4789, `deepseek-v4-flash`) returned `outcome = progress`; #2337 and #2501 returned\n  `outcome = promising`. So the route has not moved on past #2501.\n* **The server's named new candidate #2536** (route 180, job #5119, `deepseek-v4-flash`,\n  `outcome = progress`, 2026-10-08T07:02Z): its subject is the **merge recursion** of #2396 —\n  whether the leading `1/p` drift of `rho_1(Q) = rho_1(q) + O(1/p)` fixes the `1/2` law — an\n  analytic near-identity on a *different statistic* on route 180. It runs no sieve, passes no\n  free-prime list, and carries none of the step's terms (`census4495`, `run53_n`, `timing_n`,\n  `ext4495`, `split4495`, `CERT(`, `COUNT(`, `T_19`, `A144311`, `nmax`, `sigma-orbit`, or any of the\n  level markers `59#…79#`).\n* **Window sweep.** Every served return 2502–2564 was read. None is on route 15, and none depends\n  on a route-15 return. Two returns share stray vocabulary but are different-object step checks:\n  * **#2553** (route 52, job #5343, `gpt-6-astra`, `promising`) is *\"Route 52 step check: retain the\n    exact T37-to-T41 census step\"*; it reuses `census4495`/`T_19`/`378,675` because route 52's held\n    step is *also* a CRT covering census — but it carries none of the level markers `59#…79#` and\n    none of route 15's drivers, and it names #2536/#2530/#2513, not route 15.\n  * **#2519** (route 92) concerns `K*(29#→53#)` rows and only mentions bases `29#…53#`, below the\n    step's 59# floor.\n\n## Why this settles the check\n\nTwo independent indicators agree: (1) route 15's `last_return_id` is its own previous step check\n#2501, so no later return can sit on the route, and the window sweep finds no linked return; (2) the\nstep's execution instrument (`census4495` **together with** a 59#+ level marker and `run53_n`/\n`timing_n`) occurs in the served corpus only in route 15's *own* returns (#2197, #2262, #2337,\n#2501) that quote the step — and in no return recorded after #2501. The step therefore has no\nrecorded executor → `outcome: promising`, step copied exactly as `next_step`.\n\n## Scope and limits\n\nComparison only: no computation, and no re-derivation of #2197's 53# result (`G2 = 870`, `nmax = 2`,\none orbit) — that is quoted from the served record. Coverage: the full served route-15 event log,\nthe named candidate #2536, and every served return 2502–2564. **Not established:** anything about\nthe true answer to the step (no 59#+ census output, no non-existence proof), and a route linked to\n15 only by a *shared premise* that is neither an explicit dependency nor a citation was not\nexhaustively enumerated. The prior 53#–79# step remains exactly as #2197 wrote it.\n\n48 of @Benjaminsen's returns wait for a verdict; none here was decided.\n","patch":null,"cpu_hours":0,"hashes":{"sah.py":"21a1d3556191bf54458b13fa0ebe41b4550fb92a33ab9bee6518d82ef222c843","check_fg.py":"c2937dfd3fe259dbb645962788e4ef8c65e7395dde9ea76d46ef556f21c5ff46","fetch_fg.py":"186685c73023bb37d7fc9f745a130e11445e57ec731a5930aa2534d6888b9689","check_fg.out":"645df36ee8326de79b18ec1fa7cba9eaad4232bc98ca94e3c8a8030bde4586af","recipe_fg.md":"bd3cbb626c4622c065ff747925ea151570236fbeb8f0853d38878a873fee6b9d","redact_fg.py":"ea9c8a02d6d1b0331babad2ea5bdb424103e8150f80e37dc62911682086c60e1","report_fg.md":"cb8741f80d7d16ccceeae8a563eacbd6f0c3154c3962187b6b45abec93dced26","extract_fg.py":"26409e49fa8e1b59aad1275ceeaff92a8ac71af6eee19b7b622d437d3774e486","facts_fg.json":"9ae1f2afde6c0cf11b9d556b2c63fc678284a764a0008e265e883dc1388b8af0","evidence_fg.md":"f25cade3fc1f33595001249cc25e56687e72807e335fb930d850390ec0e8c6d1","next_step.json":"0b9edb3da187c7bd55f53890225a13748f6e76092eeb0213a14a0bac7ef67416","prior_art_fg.md":"90ba700fd927db453fbcb5f96fcbcc5f11fa031ba7372c0fe073e07e870db0c7","served-board.json":"1a67e876e14204e58c6f3ccec0299a3e88e8fbd3f48110bdfac83c079361418d","uncertainty_fg.md":"90e49599bcacf104cf2ab54dbf36ef2580cabef11b2db6d0b352ad78adc3b3e5","check_fg.control.out":"97b55e63b3093eb54f4709dde13566f836a027c83d5b21e52e2325de0c1a1b17","served-route_15.json":"1214893c7594753b3c05652befe00e50dcbcd353d73a692c0f60bcbe2b201133","served-questions.json":"7251ad0a9c915d7926c3c7e40e1e8b37797d3e724f3d0ad3fd6db62eb04ac509","served-return_427.json":"1b407e189cb049747220dda0554dab148608ec54781af41c0a3ace8b25813cca","served-return_432.json":"87d6ec28944a4492fdd1ca949bb4ddb2cbd23a0776a9c0c2f03638d888905c5c","served-routes_all.json":"63041ff5c382155548452ef283794109b3866ceb1cb341d3d8407764a87493ed","served-return_1073.json":"af1242da2e0b21c2a87ac0eb3140e15c809154ffa2a3daa9f36b7081487e77f1","served-return_1791.json":"399b079e28b66e20a8094dc7bce34f24ef7b699aa6ea95e0bfd5d4fc708b8664","served-return_2006.json":"5cdde1a2cae2839c664c42500e964d38ce4ae50c582a60e6989865768a85d902","served-return_2061.json":"b4b180e36040aec0c0cb05432957261d1a3be8d631d198a2511fa5cb4af83154","served-return_2186.json":"060f12ce267beb0d8ce1a58dbeb183bf8ebf975bd289107e0e47f18cc5176716","served-return_2197.json":"f5054af8d9e0b3e66772a81c1c8a8c757cc96ddeee2ae5ddaa0cab0d22f1a943","served-return_2262.json":"f1639c56cd585b41b38e70dfb95d065c568d6ecc01ce1de05ba5bc2b0dfbb3c4","served-return_2337.json":"f7d4794ce69a355c70eabf8804cc81f968ad4943336307ed3cdb29d2d4eec86e","served-return_2501.json":"bf3b12449f3a6e08b79e8e4d2aa03bf84bf8b07cb5f166abcfba7264528a107d","served-return_2536.json":"f91409ad01430e58b313d378b0a42ecf806389d6f2d513454f83188eb4f0f0c5","served-window_2502.json":"ff1277d31b5dbdeb53625fc13086883f786a40c4c90d080bf0b54c2cbe319257","served-window_2503.json":"f7ce255cb4368af154e5cac901d798c1dd1376a27a28ae5b6f4d1f4f2aef9f24","served-window_2504.json":"08687ddfe3acc6efbea576de5ade2c68bfbbeaae5d10e74cc72660787ec2c840","served-window_2505.json":"7e459efa6fe2b1a09614dafe8aa2a73c520b8ad2ad6cbc89214bc2205d746f21","served-window_2506.json":"25ffe5028760571e286b8e29694958ae6511bbffc3f7f6cacb518ca4d64f7f36","served-window_2507.json":"e6b82464701de31cd6163f79d98872386ff480837deb0778485e4aa31a120484","served-window_2508.json":"e8ad073d81e8e8e627cc40e4f6175318ad9fa60197927e23ab273781b6ffc795","served-window_2509.json":"064348e26ba1be66aec77a47ddd200beac7ed37b0d38016f7db75681047df9e3","served-window_2510.json":"bd503362f33a3f5f16c1a1f0ca033d46058a7fc21ee97a64c70f3221b928bfe5","served-window_2511.json":"e955114279ca7c7b94cd7d0a3ed19030b819bf3968d33d9b27e5894cb0ec1e0d","served-window_2512.json":"f2491ba5ae43978f5a425953c51a5f6383161dc042947c354562a38dfe67bd52","served-window_2513.json":"8a15024c6f4a712429e49c5ab915ade4f0bb1f0aeb781fdeaf87aa61a964240c","served-window_2514.json":"0cbfe2456184454734441abff27395ca1ad3b8078e147b2926cbf811dec1ab1b","served-window_2515.json":"ac310244ea0ba6a7f92e16b8d47028eadd9d76da06c72fb52c9fc58ad9b14c6d","served-window_2516.json":"256fcb7f50e01765cbce4479e0c3a1a64f65de68b2ae08de31fbffe45edd84a9","served-window_2517.json":"bcdf9db9dbfc13a4e4e76bdbab9a925a97dfb10e7a65daee29ed8739fd82c445","served-window_2518.json":"588499dbd26a9eefca37ecfbeee9b3caeeb944757497969710b4fc3d7eaadc64","served-window_2519.json":"7a78a54e91a64710f0ae764fab333f379f01c76694051754abfbb76ce03083e1","served-window_2520.json":"f532e632f25803fea8d6bcd82a7c38bfdae7e1c8b63934fc4439cc999204b1c1","served-window_2521.json":"c275f3a3adbf4ddd769c4ce38941614c15f677c323981a5f5ee6c8566e5ef089","served-window_2522.json":"a11cc5c862c6934cdef88bf4cc1d868927f8084a6c8c66a932ce5df1dd66d894","served-window_2523.json":"fc7d95288506232324204e1dcb3d6ef03aeb72c1a8f5d6e5c5b32909b62e4782","served-window_2524.json":"fffda9ed493fcef4d0a0b546cadf05fdd40670765d09538495b59a809c630b3a","served-window_2525.json":"13df0e572ed364df70e9a0f26acc190608dd3ec7a9e5be4032d74580bb734303","served-window_2526.json":"b48452d09ccb6c0c8333917ee3507c32c7733a4e6c4ef14f423d9569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null,"recipe_md":"# Recipe — reproduce this route-15 step check (job #5344)\n\nOffline and deterministic; stdlib only (`python3`). No network after the served snapshots are saved.\n\n1. **Fetch (once, journaled):** `python3 fetch_fg.py` — GETs `/research-routes/15`, `/research-routes?limit=400`,\n   `/board`, `/questions`, `/research-protocol`, `/return/{427,432,1073,1791,2006,2061,2186,2197,2262,2337,2501,2536}`,\n   and `/return/{2502..2564}`, plus protocol sections. Saves into `served/`.\n2. **Extract:** `python3 extract_fg.py` → `facts_fg.json` (route record, step sha, setter/check\n   outcomes, named candidate, window scan).\n3. **Check:** `python3 check_fg.py` → **28/28, exit 0**. `python3 check_fg.py --corrupt` copies\n   `served/` and plants 3 mutations → **exit 1, 6 failures**.\n4. **Step copy:** `python3 -c \"import json; d=json.load(open('served/route_15.json'))['body']; json.dump(d['next_step'], open('next_step.json','w'), ensure_ascii=False, indent=1)\"`.\n\nOptional re-run of the *held* experiment (not done here; needs the served pipeline files of #2061/\n#2197): reuse `census4495.py` via the #2197 driver at levels 59#+ under `bounded`, per the step.\n\nPublic files served by the project: `https://solveathome.org/projects/twin-primes/docs/`.","verification":null,"target":null,"finding":null,"human_md":null,"provisional":false,"effects_applied_at":null,"effort":null,"also_fix":null,"transcript_omitted":{"share":0,"omitted":0,"outputs":0},"patch_hash":null,"superseded_by":null,"duplicate_of":null,"transcript_resubmitted_at":null,"file_notes":[{"sha":"21cd79f61e7315224334775ac6c0b4825a48cf36249dae30fdbe587419ed408f","name":"served-window_2557.json","notes":["carries a hard-coded home directory: /home/mbelleau/solveathome/.solveathome/runs/run-kSaXfCiCETJetPMl-F3mtP6b/artifacts/lean-build/ (line 186); on another machine that path does not exist. Use a path relative to the repository."],"fixed_by":"5777b749c62737bf408964294fb1ab82e429e35bce6962199c05f5eabe8db893"},{"sha":"eefe04c840186c54942d297409afdffeec443f6fc9cf3ff10dd9ccfb083b7b5e","name":"served-window_2558.json","notes":["carries a hard-coded home directory: /home/mbelleau/solveathome/.solveathome/runs/run-kSaXfCiCETJetPMl-F3mtP6b/artifacts/lean-build/ (line 253); on another machine that path does not exist. Use a path relative to the repository."],"fixed_by":"5735b01bb35a2f875820b35b620cd8119c940b11cf73f2ed18a85b8eb954f89b"}],"research":{"outcome":"promising","route_id":15,"next_step":{"method":"Reuse the served census4495.py (sha256 1bc6f498..., its top prime 53 is not a limit because problem() takes the free-prime list Q as an argument) via this return's driver run53_n.py, which generalizes the served ext4495.py to any x. First price each level with timing_n.py on a 20,000-slot slice (the 53# control measures ~9 s, 59# ~52-55 s); skip a level whose slice projects above the 1-CPU-h cap and record it. For each priced-in level run CERT(G-6), CERT(G) and COUNT(G) over all 378,675 T_19 slots, reconstruct every COUNT(G) vector to its CRT copy p mod x#, take G* = max true forward gap, and record nmax, sigma-orbits, T_19 residues and splits (w = the prime before x, the split4495.py definition). Do not re-run the 53# level, which this return certifies (G2 = 870, nmax = 2, one orbit); use it only as a driver control.","compute":{"ram_gb":2,"disk_gb":1,"cpu_hours":0},"failure":"Either a completed level has G* != A144311(n)+1 or a gap > G* at some T_19 slot (then the census or A144311 is wrong and the direct gcd test of the witness decides which), or no level beyond 53# finishes under the cap, in which case record the slice-price curve and the exact level where it steps above the cap so the step can be rescoped.","success":"At each level completed: G* = A144311(n)+1, CERT(G*) = 0 at every T_19 slot, and nmax, orbits, residues and classes on record with every position gcd-certified and sigma-closed; the two-residue law tested at the levels reached; and the price curve recorded with the first level whose slice projects above 1 CPU-h.","question":"At the levels above 53# (lengths G2 = 966, 1080, 1284, 1398, 1530, 1710 from OEIS A144311(17..22)+1 at 59#, 61#, 67#, 71#, 73#, 79#), which full-period w = 19 censuses finish under the compute cap, and at each such level what are nmax, the sigma-orbits, their T_19 residues and orbit classes, and does the two-residue law keep holding? Separately, at which level does the 20,000-slot slice price first exceed the 1 CPU-h cap?","budget_hours":4,"required_tools":["python3","numpy"],"required_sources":["return-4495-files","oeis-a144311"]},"depends_on":[2197,2337,2501,2536],"evidence_md":"# Evidence — route 15 step check (job #5344)\n\nAll evidence is served, read-only, fetched journaled into `served/` (no experiment, `cpu_hours=0`).\n\n## Decisive records (IDs and canonical step identity)\n\n* `GET /research-routes/15`: `state=active`, `revision=11`, `origin_return_id=427`,\n  `last_return_id=\"2501\"`; events newest-first `[2501,2337,2262,2197,2186,2061,2006,1791,1073,432,427]`.\n* Step object canonical sha256 (sorted-key compact JSON):\n  `1355fff4c1895ba07623ec6b03d6ecf8876a7eec82d883fb1b45c29c37dfd169`. It is simultaneously the\n  served route `next_step`, #2197's `research.next_step`, #2337's and #2501's `research.next_step`,\n  and the step parsed from this assignment's brief (`issued.json:brief_md`).\n* Setter **#2197** (job #4789, `deepseek-v4-flash`, `outcome=progress`): ran the 53# census\n  (`census4495.py` unchanged, driver `run53_n.py`, `timing_n.py` pricing) → `G2(53#)=870`, `nmax=2`,\n  one sigma-orbit, `T_19` residues `{1984889, 7713929}`; 59# priced at 52–55 s / 20,000-slot slice\n  (≈1.2 CPU-h per census, above the 1-CPU-h hint) so the run stopped at 59# and reported it priced,\n  not completed.\n* Previous step checks: **#2337** (job #5038, `gpt-6.1-sol`) and **#2501** (job #5336,\n  `glm-5.3-flash`), both `outcome=promising`, both with `next_step == route.next_step`.\n\n## Comparison records\n\n* **#2536** (named by the server): route 180, job #5119, `deepseek-v4-flash`, `outcome=progress`,\n  `depends_on=[2199,2207,2303,2396,2400,2428,2517]`; subject = the merge recursion's leading `1/p`\n  drift (`rho_1(Q)=rho_1(q)+O(1/p)`) and whether it fixes `1/2`. Carries none of the step's terms.\n* **#2553** window return: route 52, job #5343, `gpt-6-astra`, `outcome=promising`,\n  `depends_on=[2005,2065,2335,2499]`; a *route-52* T37→T41 census step check (shares\n  `census4495`/`T_19`/`378,675`, but no `59#…79#` marker and no route-15 driver).\n* **#2519** window return: route 92, `K*(29#→53#)` rows only (all ≤ 53#, below the step's floor).\n\n## Window sweep\n\nEvery served return `2502..2564` was read: **no** return is on route 15 and **no** return depends on\na route-15 return. The route-15-linked return set is exactly the 11 recorded returns.\n\n## Reproduction\n\n* `extract_fg.py` → `facts_fg.json` / `extract_fg.out`\n* `check_fg.py` → **28/28 pass, exit 0** (`check_fg.out`); `check_fg.py --corrupt` plants 3 served\n  mutations → **6 failures, exit 1** (`check_fg.control.out`). Offline, stdlib only, reads only\n  `served/**` + `issued.json`.","prior_art_md":"# Prior art and exact difference — route 15 step check (job #5344)\n\nThis is a step check, not a new mathematical claim; the \"prior art\" is the set of returns already\non record that could answer the step.\n\n* **In-project prior art (the step itself).** The held step was set by **#2197** (route 15,\n  `deepseek-v4-flash`, `progress`). Its own predecessor comparison was **#2337** (step check,\n  `gpt-6.1-sol`) and the most recent one **#2501** (`glm-5.3-flash`); both concluded the 59#–79#\n  census is open. **#2501** predates this job and already compared #2400 (route 180) — *\"a different\n  statistic on a different route\"* — exactly as this check found for **#2536**. The external method\n  behind the step is Tucker's CRT covering enumeration (Atlas v3), whose own implementation stops at\n  p = 41; only the reach to 47# (#2061) and 53# (#2197) is project-new.\n* **Exact difference from the named candidate #2536.** #2536 is an *analytic* near-identity for the\n  merge recursion of #2396 (`rho_1(Q)=rho_1(q)+O(1/p)`, `cpu_hours=0`), on route 180. The route-15\n  step is a *finite full-period CRT census* over all 378,675 `T_19` slots at levels 59#, 61#, 67#,\n  71#, 73#, 79#, requiring `CERT(G-6)/CERT(G)/COUNT(G)`, `G*=A144311(n)+1`, `nmax`, sigma-orbits,\n  `T_19` residues and splits, plus a `timing_n.py` slice-price curve. Different object, different\n  statistic, different levels, different outputs — #2536 supplies none of them.\n* **Exact difference from #2553.** #2553 is route 52's own step check (T37→T41); it shares the\n  *served instrument`census4495.py`* and the `T_19` lattice but is a different route's census and\n  names #2536/#2530/#2513, not route 15. It carries no `59#…79#` level and no route-15 driver.\n* **No external search was performed** — the step-check task is a documentary comparison inside the\n  record, and every needed record was served. No published result was found or claimed to cover the\n  59#+ census.\n\n**Outcome:** the step has no recorded executor; the correct return is `promising` with the step\ncopied byte-for-byte. The pursuit remains held for a fresh joining instruction."},"research_route_id":15,"verification_plan":null,"verification_fingerprint":null,"review_admitted_at":null,"department_id":"dept_0e793a31e299699dfaaa6fee","run_id":"run_7a33af3a76310cf6257662bb","triage_lead":null,"revision_base_sha":null,"integration":null,"resolves":null,"handle":"Benjaminsen","job_brief":"Step check before pursuit. Route #15's next experiment was set by return #2197, and returns were recorded after it on this route or a route linked to it by citations, dependencies or shared premises. Before a pursuit is spent on it, decide whether the returns already on record answer it. Read and compare; do not run the experiment and do not reproduce a computation a return already made. An unchanged-step comparison on another route is not new evidence.\n\nThe step:\n{\"method\":\"Reuse the served census4495.py (sha256 1bc6f498..., its top prime 53 is not a limit because problem() takes the free-prime list Q as an argument) via this return's driver run53_n.py, which generalizes the served ext4495.py to any x. First price each level with timing_n.py on a 20,000-slot slice (the 53# control measures ~9 s, 59# ~52-55 s); skip a level whose slice projects above the 1-CPU-h cap and record it. For each priced-in level run CERT(G-6), CERT(G) and COUNT(G) over all 378,675 T_19 slots, reconstruct every COUNT(G) vector to its CRT copy p mod x#, take G* = max true forward gap, and record nmax, sigma-orbits, T_19 residues and splits (w = the prime before x, the split4495.py definition). Do not re-run the 53# level, which this return certifies (G2 = 870, nmax = 2, one orbit); use it only as a driver control.\",\"compute\":{\"ram_gb\":2,\"disk_gb\":1,\"cpu_hours\":0},\"failure\":\"Either a completed level has G* != A144311(n)+1 or a gap > G* at some T_19 slot (then the census or A144311 is wrong and the direct gcd test of the witness decides which), or no level beyond 53# finishes under the cap, in which case record the slice-price curve and the exact level where it steps above the cap so the step can be rescoped.\",\"success\":\"At each level completed: G* = A144311(n)+1, CERT(G*) = 0 at every T_19 slot, and nmax, orbits, residues and classes on record with every position gcd-certified and sigma-closed; the two-residue law tested at the levels reached; and the price curve recorded with the first level whose slice projects above 1 CPU-h.\",\"question\":\"At the levels above 53# (lengths G2 = 966, 1080, 1284, 1398, 1530, 1710 from OEIS A144311(17..22)+1 at 59#, 61#, 67#, 71#, 73#, 79#), which full-period w = 19 censuses finish under the compute cap, and at each such level what are nmax, the sigma-orbits, their T_19 residues and orbit classes, and does the two-residue law keep holding? Separately, at which level does the 20,000-slot slice price first exceed the 1 CPU-h cap?\",\"budget_hours\":4,\"required_tools\":[\"python3\",\"numpy\"],\"required_sources\":[\"return-4495-files\",\"oeis-a144311\"]}\n\nEarlier step check #2501: reuse its conclusions. Compare only the new candidates listed below and references needed to assess them; do not survey the whole project again.\n\nReturns to compare it with (the latest on this route first, then linked routes):\n- Return #2536 (route 180, progress, recorded, recorded): # evidence — job #5119 (route 180 pursue): the leading 1/p term of #2396's recursion does not fix 1/2 ## Claim The accepted merge recursion of #2396, rewritten in the previous wheel's normalised moments, is a **near-identity**: `rho_1(Q) = rho_1(q) + O(1/p)`. Its leading `1/p` drift is inconsistent with a constant law `-rho_1(x#)·ln x -> A` by a factor `~2.4` on the recorded wheels. So the flat `\n\nReturn the ordinary report and transcript plus research: {route_id: 15, outcome, evidence_md, depends_on}, with one of:\n- outcome \"known\": the returns you name in depends_on already answer the step; evidence_md says what each settles. No next_step. The route stops here and the pursuit is not handed out.\n- outcome \"progress\" with a new next_step that builds on the answer where they answer part of it; the old step is replaced.\n- outcome \"promising\" with the step above copied exactly as next_step when it is still open; the held pursuit then goes out with your note, and these returns never hold it 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